Weather Forecast 19/02/2015

Winds for most of the fleet are good, except around New Zealand. A complex high pressure is expanding light winds south to near the ice boundary. This will be a challenge for We Are Water as they work to pass south of New Zealand. But it will be particularly difficult situation for Renault Captur as they sail toward New Zealand for repairs. A front and possibly low will move toward southeast New Zealand on Saturday, with new breeze arriving.

Meteo FEB 19, 2015 05:38

*** SYNOPSIS ***

00Z THURSDAY (19-FEB-2015):
1) A trough between 120E and 125E is moving very quickly east across the
Australian Bight. A cold front lies from 53S/134E to 41S/122E.
2) A high pressure (125mb) is weakening southeast of Tasmania near
46S/151E.
3) Low pressure (1018mb) near 45S/170E as a minor cold front brushes
southern NZ out of the Tasman Sea.
4) High pressure (1023mb) lies across NZís North Island.
5) A Southern Ocean low will support a cold front lying from 56S/143W to
46S/160W west to the Chatham Islands.
6) A ridge of high pressure will lie west to east along 41S from 160W to
high pressure (1021mb) near 42S/137W.
7) An intense Southern Ocean low pressure (965mb) will be near 62S/124W.
Strong Gale force Wílies are expected between this low and the high
pressure ridge to the north.

00Z FRIDAY (20-FEB-2015):
1) A strong cold front will extend from about 60S/120E to 49S/116E to
43S/107E. High pressure (1019mb) will lie near 43S/135E strong NW
winds between the front and high pressure.
2) A low pressure (981mb) near 60S/153E with a cold front extending north
to just east of Tasmania.
3) High pressure (1024mb) persists across NZ to the Chatham Islands with
the Wílies pushed well south to 51S between 165E and 180W.
4) Broad flow of SWílies from 180W to 150W south of 46S to the Ice
Boundary.
5) A sub-tropical low (997mb) will move to 38S/143W. South of this low,
the Wílies will be easing. Stronger NW winds return south of 48S and
west of 134W.

00Z SATURDAY (21-FEB-2015):
1) A cold front will be moving south of Australia from 57S/137E to
49S/135E to 41S/125E.
2) High pressure (1020mb) will be centered near 46S/157E, but with light
winds extending south to 53S at 158E.
3) Low pressure (1010mb) south of NZ near 50S/167E.
4) High pressure (1029mb) east-northeast of the Chatham Islands near
42S/169W.
5) Moderate SW winds from 163W to 135W.
6) The sub-tropical low (988mb) will move to 48S/125w, with strong
cyclonic Wílies north of the low and moderate/fresh Eílies south of
the low to 52S.

**************************************
General Forecast along race route

*** THURSDAY (19-FEB-2015) ***
* 43S to 48S and 120E to 130E *
WIND: W tending NW 20-30.
SEAS: 3-5m
WEATHER: Variable clouds with a chance of showers.
* 43S to 48S and 130E to 140E *
WIND: NW east of 135E shifting SW tending W 20-25 gusting 30.
SEAS: 2-4m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls becoming partly cloudy with showers.
* 42S to 47S and 140E to 150E *
WIND: NW 20-30 gusting 35-40. Shifting SW from west to east late in the
period.
SEAS: 1-3m
WEATHER: Partly cloudy. Tending cloud with showers south of 45S.
* 46S to 51S and 140E to 150E *
WIND: NW increasing 25-35 gusting 40, shifting SW 20-30 from west to east.
SEAS: 3-5m
WEATHER: Cloudy with rain and a few squalls. Easing to partly cloudy with
scattered squalls late in the period.
* 47S to 52S and 150E to 160E *
WIND: N/NW 15-25, lighter north and stronger south.
SEAS: 3-5m.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy. Increasing clouds from west to east with some
showers developing.
* 48S to 53S and 160E to 170E *
WIND: W 10-20 south of 50S. 5-10 north of 50S.
SEAS: 2-4m.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy.
* 44S to 49S and 170E to 180E *
WIND: Light and variable between 49S and 48S. North of 48S, becoming E 5-15.
SEAS: 1-3m
WEATHER: Variable clouds and sun. Chance of showers near NZ coast.
* 49S to 54S and 170E to 180E *
WIND: W/SW 20-30 gusting 35 near 54S.
SEAS: 3-6m
WEATHER: Partly cloudy with showers
* 49S to 54S and 180W to 170W *
WIND: SW 25-35.
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy with scattered squalls.
* 49S to 54S and 170W to 160W *
WIND: W/SW 25-35
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 160W to 150W *
WIND: W/SW 20-30 gusting 35.
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy with scattered squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 150W to 140W *
WIND: W 20-30
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy scattered squalls likely.
* 48S to 53S and 140W to 130W *
WIND: GALE FORCE - NW 30-40 gusting 45.
SEAS: 5-8m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 130W to 120W *
WIND: GALE FORCE ñ NW 30-40 gusting 45.
SEAS: 7-10m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 120W to 110W *
WIND: GALES ñ W 25-35 gusting 40.
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Partly cloudy with scattered squalls.

*** FRIDAY (20-FEB-2015) ***
* 43S to 48S and 120E to 130E *
WIND: GALES - NW 25-35 gusting 45 shifting W.
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls likely.
* 43S to 48S and 130E to 140E *
WIND: STORMS - NNW/NW 35-45 gusting 50, shifting NW/W late in the period
from west to east.
SEAS: 4-7m
WEATHER: Cloudy with rain and squalls likely.
* 42S to 47S and 140E to 150E *
WIND: NW 15-25 increasing 20-30.
SEAS: 1-3m
WEATHER: Partly cloudy with scattered showers south of 45S.
* 46S to 51S and 140E to 150E *
WIND: W tending NW 20-30.
SEAS: 3-5m
WEATHER: Increasing clouds with showers likely.
* 47S to 52S and 150E to 160E *
WIND: SW/S 25-35 tending W 15-25
SEAS: 4-6m.
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls likely easing to showers.
* 48S to 53S and 160E to 170E *
WIND: NW 25-35 gusting 45. Shifting SW 15-25.
SEAS: 3-5m
WEATHER: Cloudy with rain and squalls likely.
* 44S to 49S and 170E to 180E *
WIND: Becoming N 10-20.
SEAS: 1-3m
WEATHER: Variable clouds and sun. Chance of showers near NZ coast.
* 49S to 54S and 170E to 180E *
WIND: N/NW 15-25
SEAS: 3-5m
WEATHER: Increasing clouds with showers developing.
* 49S to 54S and 180W to 170W *
WIND: SW 20-30 tending W 15-25.
SEAS: 3-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy with scattered showers ending.
* 49S to 54S and 170W to 160W *
WIND: W/SW 25-35
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 160W to 150W *
WIND: SW 20-30.
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy with scattered squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 150W to 140W *
WIND: W 15-25
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy scattered squalls likely.
* 48S to 53S and 140W to 130W *
WIND: GALES - N/NW 15-25. North of 50S, becoming SE/S 25-35 gusting 45.
SEAS: 4-6m
WEATHER: Cloudy with rain and squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 130W to 120W *
WIND: N/NW 15-25 gusting 30-35
SEAS: 3-50m
WEATHER: Cloudy with squalls possible
* 48S to 53S and 120W to 110W *
WIND: NW 20-30 gusting 45.
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Partly cloudy with scattered squalls.
* 48S to 53S and 110W to 100W *
WIND: NW/W 25-35 gusting 45.
SEAS: 5-7m
WEATHER: Mostly cloudy with squalls likely.